Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.279728 3.617166 3.982557 4.408958 4.894586 5.432410 6.075814
2025-09-28 2.676901 3.104325 3.597745 4.214067 4.969718 5.874355 7.052001
2025-10-05 2.399052 2.885745 3.474736 4.249227 5.254698 6.535512 8.322944
2025-10-12 2.217623 2.747032 3.412708 4.326025 5.570356 7.242711 9.724994
2025-10-19 2.075356 2.635247 3.362514 4.397619 5.868981 7.943784 11.202795
2025-10-26 1.955774 2.537432 3.314784 4.457802 6.145905 8.633674 12.754576
2025-11-02 1.845024 2.439232 3.253497 4.486051 6.370406 9.262211 14.297061
2025-11-09 1.702737 2.284796 3.098412 4.358964 6.340917 9.485583 15.194042
2025-11-16 1.597173 2.173757 2.995228 4.296944 6.400556 9.850373 16.381839
2025-11-23 1.514431 2.089248 2.923309 4.274101 6.516383 10.315905 17.820702
2025-11-30 1.477830 2.069306 2.945027 4.398139 6.884248 11.257162 20.330196
2025-12-07 1.407609 1.994031 2.876126 4.368227 6.983501 11.724926 21.970156
2025-12-14 1.337437 1.916103 2.800050 4.323742 7.059044 12.170590 23.681294
2025-12-21 1.242226 1.794318 2.647187 4.137767 6.861333 12.067298 24.162872
2025-12-28 1.201389 1.755180 2.624167 4.172667 7.073723 12.801127 26.725962
2026-01-04 1.171709 1.731722 2.624620 4.247791 7.368757 13.743361 30.013518
2026-01-11 1.143092 1.708092 2.622775 4.317761 7.660046 14.718763 33.634266
2026-01-18 1.114359 1.682483 2.615575 4.376568 7.934250 15.696454 37.527038
2026-01-25 1.082161 1.649279 2.593012 4.404169 8.146146 16.562846 41.349471
2026-02-01 1.027162 1.575155 2.494985 4.279990 8.023584 16.618635 42.741169
2026-02-08 0.986024 1.522603 2.432097 4.219381 8.032238 16.995225 45.253871
2026-02-15 0.953414 1.483108 2.390270 4.197056 8.122784 17.590082 48.668195
2026-02-22 0.944019 1.483095 2.419310 4.318271 8.549123 19.120182 55.856544